Libya: Shifting sands in the militia and insurgency movements

Tracking and understanding the various militias and insurgent groups involved in the Libya conflict is no trivial exercise. This is because the situation shifts quickly in reaction to the many events that force continuous changes on the ground.   Take for example the...

Morocco risk outlook: difficult path to reconciliation in el-Hoceima, but it is not too late

Nasser Zefzafi, the figurehead of the Hirak protest movement that shook the northcentral Rif region of El-Hoceima in Morocco remains in police custody in Casablanca, having been arrested on 29 May.  Zefzafi was initially arrested for having interrupted a religious...

New French government refining Africa strategy: African troops for the Sahel and support for Libya’s Haftar

The new French President is seeking to influence French policy in Africa with his own vision. What he may offer may not be a major departure from his predecessor’s policy, but instead he is looking for a simplified version that reduces France’s liability and costs,...

Algeria report: Health of president & counter-insurgency ops dominate the week

For the period of 9 to 15 March 2017, MEA Risk’s Critical Incidents Tracker recorded 74 critical incidents in Algeria, resulting in four deaths and 438 arrests. Human and social-related incidents and criminality both accounted for 29.73% of the total pool of...

Algeria: Police foil suicide attack in Constantine, background and takeways

A suicide attack targeting a police station in Bab el-Kantara, Constantine province, was foiled on 26 February. A suicide bomber was seeking to enter the police station, but was prevented to do so by an officer who opened fire on him. The bomber’s explosive belt...

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