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Podcast: Nigeria stability review for week ending 13 October 2019
This is a security and stability review for Nigeria for the week ending 13 October 2019, as summarized by MEA Risk Analyst Arezki Daoud. The full report is available to clients either of Nigeria-Security.com or at MEA-Risk.com. Subscription information is available on...
Introducing Nigeria’s weekly security podcast
This podcast is an introductory review of Nigeria security environment, which will be subject to a weekly podcast. In here, MEA Risk Principal Analyst, Arezki Daoud, reviews the general security environment and makes a brief inventory of critical issues facing Nigeria...
Algeria Autumn outlook: Political crisis to reach its climax as protest movement and unions merge their campaigns and military chiefs resist change
A MEA Risk Assessment - 29 August 2019: Social unrest has long been a permanent fixture of Algerian politics, characterized by localized and uncoordinated protests and sit-ins across the entire country. The current stalemate is galvanizing the unrest at the local...
Algeria political crisis update: The summer deadlock
MEA Risk analysis | 25 July | 2019: There were no new efforts by the military command this week to ease tension or to roll out a transition process aimed at stabilizing Algeria. The military stance is extremely alarming because Algeria is operating without a legal...
Podcast: Algerian military leaders sustaining the political crisis
The Algerian military has lost its capability to maintain a reasonable level of objectivity. Its senior command, directed by General Gaid Salah, is now in intense panic mode after it failed to abort the ongoing anti-government protests. Such panic mode translates...
Podcast: Algeria political transition update as of 18 June 2019
In this podcast, Arezki Daoud of MEA Risk provides an update on the state of the stalled political transition in Algeria. Transcript: Rough times in Algeria as the military command pushes for more instability By Arezki Daoud - 18 June 2019: The...
Algeria: Regime complicates the political crisis in Algeria, insists on unpopular solutions
The Algerian presidential election scheduled by the military command to take place on 4 July 2019 has been cancelled. On Sunday 2 June, the country’s highest court, the Constitutional Council, announced the “postponement” after it rejected the applications of two...
Total’s New African Venture: Risk Analysis
From afar, this looks like a deal made in heaven. French oil form Total will pay US peer Occidental $8.8 billion to acquire the African assets of Anadarko. Occidental’s takeover of Anadarko seems like a good opportunity for the French company to increase its already...
Morocco vs. EU: illegal migration and Western Sahara challenge agricultural agreement
Morocco and the European Union are at an impasse when it comes to their joint agricultural trade agreement. At the center of the raw is Morocco’s insistence on including fisheries and farm products from the contested Western Sahara province, which European courts...
Egypt: Tension heats up in North Sinai, with threats for more to come elsewhere in Egypt
Suspected militants of the ‘Welayet Sinai’ (Province of Sinai) organization, affiliated to IS are suspected to be behind the killing of two Coptic Christians over the past few weeks. Attacks specifically targeting Christians have been on the rise recently, with the...
Algeria: Police foil suicide attack in Constantine, background and takeways
A suicide attack targeting a police station in Bab el-Kantara, Constantine province, was foiled on 26 February. A suicide bomber was seeking to enter the police station, but was prevented to do so by an officer who opened fire on him. The bomber's explosive belt went...
China to strengthen economic presence in Africa, seeks to widen political influence
Last month, China flexed its muscles against Nigeria when the West African country agreed to upgrade the second-tier Taiwanese diplomatic mission based in Abuja to full embassy status. Beijing did not like the move and has been threatening Nigeria to block any...
French military presence in Africa unlikely to change post 2017 presidential elections
Despite a deadly year of terror in France, partly tied to the country’s involvement in major conflict zones, Paris is looking to maintain such involvement, and may even increase it. The upcoming presidential elections are not likely to witness a major policy change,...
As counter-terror campaign intensifies in Algeria, Libya’s weapons making their way into the country
In the first four months of 2016, the Algerian army has killed 31 Islamist insurgents, and captured 33 others nationwide. Furthermore, an arsenal of war big enough to wreck havoc was siezed, including over 300 war weapons were retrieved, 202 hideouts were destroyed...
Broadcast: Europe’s Radicalized Muslim Population
Europe's integration policies related to its immigrants have been less than effective in stemming the rise of extremism. Decades of misconceived immigration strategies have led to the rise of radical movements, to the point now that new measures to strip the...
Oil prices & the impact on Sovereign Wealth Funds Libya as a case
The drop in oil prices in the last 12 months has taken markets and investors by surprise. State institutions such as Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWF) have been affected and state budgets have suffered. SWF will grow slowly and in many cases will see some of their assets...
The Other Time Bomb: Food Dependency in Middle East/North Africa
North Africa’s stability is not only undermined by the terror risk coming from Daesh and other insurgency groups, but it is also more acutely affected by broad governance issues and its inability to deal with pressing economic, social and environmental problems. One...
How Algeria’s new budget may lead drug trafficking to soar
The recently adopted budget for fiscal year 2016 has been subject to vivid opposition from several political figures and civil society associations ever since a draft version was made released in late 2015. Developed on the basis of a reference price of $37 the barrel...
