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MEA Risk is an information, analysis, forecasting and alerting company that tracks security, risk and stability in many regions. We track incidents, from terrorism and counter-terror operations, to criminality, political and social unrest and all other key factors that contribute to the instability of a region. Our Analysts are on the ground working 24 hours a day so they can be your eyes and ears there. Stay safe and find out how we can help.
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Total’s New African Venture: Risk Analysis
From afar, this looks like a deal made in heaven. French oil form Total will pay US peer Occidental $8.8 billion to acquire the African assets of Anadarko. Occidental’s takeover of Anadarko seems like a good opportunity for the French company to increase its already...
read moreAlgeria security note: Inadequate government response to protests could bring economy to complete halt
MEA Risk Security Note: 14 March 2019: Algeria is facing the real possibility of a complete nationwide industrial shut down, should the government fail to ease popular protests and deflate the ongoing political crisis. An inadequate response would include but not...
read moreAlgeria protests shift to the next phase of nationwide strike, as regime ponders what to do
10 March 2019: (audio version above) - The Algerian popular uprising appears to have reached its next phase. After millions took to the streets across Algerian cities, and continue to do so, the protest movement seems to be shifting to the industrial and business...
read moreThe situation in the Sahel: Podcast series
MEA Risk's Arezki Daoud and Alessandro Bruno discuss the current state of instability in the Sahel. The unscripted discussion took place on 1 March 2019. You can download the audio file on this page, iTunes and Google Store podcast pages.
read moreAfrica 2019 elections preview- Part 1: Tunisia
MEA Risk analysts Arezki Daoud and Alessandro Bruno are discussing elections in four African countries in this four-part series. The free-flowing chat will take us to Tunisia in this podcast, followed by Algeria in part 2, then Nigeria and Mozambique. Tunisia, despite...
read moreLibya 2019 Podcast Preview
When you think that the destabilization of Libya reached its peak, new development on the ground sinks the country even deeper. The year 2018 was devastating for the Libyan people, and 2019 does not promise any improvement. Listen to a discussion between MEA Risk...
read moreAlgeria’s other military campaigns
MEA Risk reports that for the period of 1 to 7 November 2018, there were 53 critical incidents recorded in Algeria, resulting in a single death and 392 arrests. The share of the Criminality category in the week’s total incident pool was 39%, with authorities...
read moreNigeria: As primaries end, competition between parties to intensify, and violence likely
For the period of 8 to 14 October 2018, there were 41 critical incidents in Nigeria, resulting in at least 124 deaths and 113 arrests. Both the Social/Human and Economic categories accounted for nearly 27% each of the total incident pool of the week. At least...
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Morocco vs. EU: illegal migration and Western Sahara challenge agricultural agreement
Morocco and the European Union are at an impasse when it comes to their joint agricultural trade agreement. At the center of the raw is Morocco’s insistence on including fisheries and farm products from the contested Western Sahara province, which European courts...
Egypt: Tension heats up in North Sinai, with threats for more to come elsewhere in Egypt
Suspected militants of the ‘Welayet Sinai’ (Province of Sinai) organization, affiliated to IS are suspected to be behind the killing of two Coptic Christians over the past few weeks. Attacks specifically targeting Christians have been on the rise recently, with the...
Algeria: Police foil suicide attack in Constantine, background and takeways
A suicide attack targeting a police station in Bab el-Kantara, Constantine province, was foiled on 26 February. A suicide bomber was seeking to enter the police station, but was prevented to do so by an officer who opened fire on him. The bomber's explosive belt went...
China to strengthen economic presence in Africa, seeks to widen political influence
Last month, China flexed its muscles against Nigeria when the West African country agreed to upgrade the second-tier Taiwanese diplomatic mission based in Abuja to full embassy status. Beijing did not like the move and has been threatening Nigeria to block any...
French military presence in Africa unlikely to change post 2017 presidential elections
Despite a deadly year of terror in France, partly tied to the country’s involvement in major conflict zones, Paris is looking to maintain such involvement, and may even increase it. The upcoming presidential elections are not likely to witness a major policy change,...
As counter-terror campaign intensifies in Algeria, Libya’s weapons making their way into the country
In the first four months of 2016, the Algerian army has killed 31 Islamist insurgents, and captured 33 others nationwide. Furthermore, an arsenal of war big enough to wreck havoc was siezed, including over 300 war weapons were retrieved, 202 hideouts were destroyed...
Broadcast: Europe’s Radicalized Muslim Population
Europe's integration policies related to its immigrants have been less than effective in stemming the rise of extremism. Decades of misconceived immigration strategies have led to the rise of radical movements, to the point now that new measures to strip the...
Oil prices & the impact on Sovereign Wealth Funds Libya as a case
The drop in oil prices in the last 12 months has taken markets and investors by surprise. State institutions such as Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWF) have been affected and state budgets have suffered. SWF will grow slowly and in many cases will see some of their assets...
The Other Time Bomb: Food Dependency in Middle East/North Africa
North Africa’s stability is not only undermined by the terror risk coming from Daesh and other insurgency groups, but it is also more acutely affected by broad governance issues and its inability to deal with pressing economic, social and environmental problems. One...
How Algeria’s new budget may lead drug trafficking to soar
The recently adopted budget for fiscal year 2016 has been subject to vivid opposition from several political figures and civil society associations ever since a draft version was made released in late 2015. Developed on the basis of a reference price of $37 the barrel...
