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Nigeria: As primaries end, competition between parties to intensify, and violence likely

For the period of 8 to 14 October 2018, there were 41 critical incidents in Nigeria, resulting in at least 124 deaths and 113 arrests.  Both the Social/Human and Economic categories accounted for nearly 27% each of the total incident pool of the week. At least...
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Mozambique: Municipal elections end with ruling party dominance

The Mozambican Liberation Front (Frelimo) has won Mozambique’s municipal elections in 44 of the country’s 53 municipalities, according to official figures released on 14 October.  Elections took place on 10 October. Only the results from Malema in the north of the...
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Europe wants a proactive North Africa in preventing migrations

There appears to be an uptick in entry of foreign migrants into Europe over the past months.  Although there has been a sizeable decrease of global entries since 2015, the European Coast Guard agency Frontex noticed an increase of refugee inflows on the sequential...
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Algeria: Intense counter-terrorism campaign leads to surrender of wanted Malian insurgent

Wanted Malian Islamic State insurgent Aissa Abzou, also known as “Sultan Oueld Badi”, surrendered to the army in Tamanrasset on 11 August. Two machine guns and an important quantity of ammunition were seized. Sultan Oueld Badi is a member of the Islamic...
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Libya: Critical Incidents Map for July 2018. Libya risk remains highly elevated

For the period of 1 July to 7 August 2018, there were 64 critical incidents affecting Libya’s stability rating. Those incidents resulted in at least 18 deaths and 1,004 arrests. As a result, the MEA Risk Incidents Index (or Instability Index) for the period was 1.90....
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Difficult time for Nigeria’s ruling APC party and President Buhari, more violence ahead likely

Last week, Mohammed Ali Ndume, the Senator representing Borno South in the Nigerian Senate and a member of the ruling All Progressive Congress (APC), insisted that his party still maintained the majority position in the Senate despite the end-of-July’s defection of 15...
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MEA Risk is an information, analysis, forecasting and alerting company that tracks security, risk and stability in many regions. We track incidents, from terrorism and counter-terror operations, to criminality, political and social unrest and all other key factors that contribute to the instability of a region. Our Analysts are on the ground working 24 hours a day so they can be your eyes and ears there. Stay safe and find out how we can help.

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Presentation: Sources of instability in the Sahel

http://www.jaydenx.com/MEARisk/Audio/Understanding-unrest-in-the-Sahel.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | DownloadSubscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSThis is a presentation made by MEA Risk’s Arezki Daoud on understanding the sources of instability in the Sahel at a... read more

Broadcast: Europe’s Radicalized Muslim Population

Europe’s integration policies related to its immigrants have been less than effective in stemming the rise of extremism. Decades of misconceived immigration strategies have led to the rise of radical movements, to the point now that new measures to strip the...

Oil prices & the impact on Sovereign Wealth Funds Libya as a case

The drop in oil prices in the last 12 months has taken markets and investors by surprise. State institutions such as Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWF) have been affected and state budgets have suffered. SWF will grow slowly and in many cases will see some of their assets...

The Other Time Bomb: Food Dependency in Middle East/North Africa

North Africa’s stability is not only undermined by the terror risk coming from Daesh and other insurgency groups, but it is also more acutely affected by broad governance issues and its inability to deal with pressing economic, social and environmental problems. One...

How Algeria’s new budget may lead drug trafficking to soar

The recently adopted budget for fiscal year 2016 has been subject to vivid opposition from several political figures and civil society associations ever since a draft version was made released in late 2015. Developed on the basis of a reference price of $37 the barrel...

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