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ANALYSIS

Algeria’s other military campaigns

MEA Risk reports that for the period of 1 to 7 November 2018, there were 53 critical incidents recorded in Algeria, resulting in a single death and 392 arrests.  The share of the Criminality category in the week’s total incident pool was 39%, with authorities...
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Nigeria: As primaries end, competition between parties to intensify, and violence likely

For the period of 8 to 14 October 2018, there were 41 critical incidents in Nigeria, resulting in at least 124 deaths and 113 arrests.  Both the Social/Human and Economic categories accounted for nearly 27% each of the total incident pool of the week. At least...
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Mozambique: Municipal elections end with ruling party dominance

The Mozambican Liberation Front (Frelimo) has won Mozambique’s municipal elections in 44 of the country’s 53 municipalities, according to official figures released on 14 October.  Elections took place on 10 October. Only the results from Malema in the north of the...
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Europe wants a proactive North Africa in preventing migrations

There appears to be an uptick in entry of foreign migrants into Europe over the past months.  Although there has been a sizeable decrease of global entries since 2015, the European Coast Guard agency Frontex noticed an increase of refugee inflows on the sequential...
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Algeria: Intense counter-terrorism campaign leads to surrender of wanted Malian insurgent

Wanted Malian Islamic State insurgent Aissa Abzou, also known as “Sultan Oueld Badi”, surrendered to the army in Tamanrasset on 11 August. Two machine guns and an important quantity of ammunition were seized. Sultan Oueld Badi is a member of the Islamic...
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Libya: Critical Incidents Map for July 2018. Libya risk remains highly elevated

For the period of 1 July to 7 August 2018, there were 64 critical incidents affecting Libya’s stability rating. Those incidents resulted in at least 18 deaths and 1,004 arrests. As a result, the MEA Risk Incidents Index (or Instability Index) for the period was 1.90....
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MEA Risk is an information, analysis, forecasting and alerting company that tracks security, risk and stability in many regions. We track incidents, from terrorism and counter-terror operations, to criminality, political and social unrest and all other key factors that contribute to the instability of a region. Our Analysts are on the ground working 24 hours a day so they can be your eyes and ears there. Stay safe and find out how we can help.

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Algeria: Security Update

There has been a set back in the Algerian counter-terror offensive, after five soldiers were killed today (14 February) in a bomb explosion in Tebessa, near the Tunisian border.  A large-scale sweeping operation was launched after the incident, in an area that appears... read more

Tunisia: Difficult Road to Stability

Tunisia continues to face several pain points that the government is struggling to contain.  On the economic front, new data points confirm the tough start of the year for the country.  Its foreign exchange reserves have dropped to 11.8 billion dinars ($4.98 billion)... read more

Nigeria’s grazing wars are now deadlier than Boko Haram

Most people think of Boko Haram when they think of the top security problem facing Nigeria. That may be true until you learn more about one of the outcomes of the Boko Haram onslaught in northern Nigeria. Boko Haram’s reign of terror affected millions of people,... read more

Nigeria’s stability assessment

For the period of 11 to 17 December 2017, there were 55 critical incidents in Nigeria, resulting in 36 deaths and 63 arrests. Criminality accounted for nearly 35%, followed by Security-related incidents with 18.37%. There have been many protests and demonstrations... read more

Algeria stability week in review

In the period between 7 and 13 December 2017, there were 83 critical incidents in Algeria, resulting in eight deaths and 480 arrests, including 267 immigrants, 97 drug traffickers and 38 contraband smugglers. Algeria’s MEA Risk’s Stability Rating for that week ended... read more

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