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MEA Risk is an information, analysis, forecasting and alerting company that tracks security, risk and stability in many regions. We track incidents, from terrorism and counter-terror operations, to criminality, political and social unrest and all other key factors that contribute to the instability of a region. Our Analysts are on the ground working 24 hours a day so they can be your eyes and ears there. Stay safe and find out how we can help.
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Podcast: Covid-19 and the crises of Libya, Tunisia and Mali
In this brief podcast recorded on 17 July 2020, MEA Risk analyst Arezki Daoud provides an update on what we are seeing in North Africa and the Sahel. The region is experiencing tumultuous events as the summer evolves. At this stage, it is clear that the fall season is...
Podcast: Algeria braces for new cycle of anti-regime protests
18 June 2020: There have been increasing calls by pro-democracy militants to resume the Hirak anti-regime protest movement in Algeria, a situation that has prompted an intensification of government repression against opposition figures and rights activists. The...
Sahel Podcast: Covid-19, the insurgency and the brutality of government forces
In this latest brief podcast, MEA Risk's Arezki Daoud addresses the issues of instability and security in the Sahel, focusing on the impact of Covid-19 pandemic, the insurgency and how government forces are magnifying the crisis in the sub-region. This podcast was...
Eid el-Fitr in the time of Covid-19
The holy month of Ramadan is coming to an end this week and after four weeks of sacrifice and spiritual uplifting, millions of Muslims are excited to finally greet the Eid El-Fitr celebration. But this year’s excitement is being severely dampened by the impact the...
North Africa and the Sahel Review of week ending 24 April 2020: Lock-downs, curfews and government abuse
This is a retrospect on North Africa and the Sahel region, for the week ending 24 April. The review, which focuses on the latest on Covid-19 in the Maghreb, Egypt and the Sahel, is presented by MEA Risk analyst Arezki Daoud. The video version can also be seen on...
Podcast: Outlook – North Africa faces unprecedented economic crisis accelerated by Covid-19
26 March 2020: North Africa is bracing for an unprecedented economic contraction, even if the coronavirus crisis were to be contained soon. The fundamentals of economic growth are such, that the region is expected to witness an erosion of revenues driven by both...
North Africa facing the coronavirus: situation update as of 12 March 2020
Today’s topic of MEA Risk podcast is to review North Africa coronavirus readiness as of 12 March 2020. The podcast is presented by Arezki Daoud. Link to the transcript can be found here: https://bit.ly/3cWJGus
Algeria 2019 stability assessment: Main statistics
The apparent easing in political tension in Algeria post-12 December 2019 election is not evidence of a return to normal and the end of the anti-regime protest movement. The appointment of Tebboune as president after a massively rejected election, has forced a lull...
East Africa: As Al-Shabaab Weakens, the Expansion of I.S. Poses New Threats
Although still firmly in the red, indicating the country is still an extreme Risk Zone, Kenya is coming to grips with causes of instability . According to MEA Risk, Kenya’s CIncidents index eased 16 % between June and October, falling from 2.53/5.00 to 2.13/5.00. The...
Metrojet crash in the Sinai likely to worsen Egyptian economy
MEA Risk Research Note: The UK government ordered a suspension of flights to the Egyptian resort of Sharm El-Sheikh, as a result of what it believes to be a strong likelihood of a bomb that downed the Russian airplane. Metrojet Flight 9268, a Russian plane carrying...
Should Kenya tighten its belt amid revenue uncertainty?
There is an ongoing debate over a "cash crunch" facing Kenya. But is it a real issue which could affect the Kenyan economic outlook? This ongoing debate is in line with what we are seeing in other African countries. Currency woes are indeed affecting a great many...
Maghreb/Sahel: August 2015 Monthly Human Migration Brief
The Maghreb and the Sahel regions continue to struggle with illegal migration. In most cases, migrants come from other regions such as war-torn Mid East countries and Sub-Sahara Africa, using the Maghreb as a transit platform toward Europe, taking advantage of a...
Ramadan & Beyond: As food prices peak, social tension to spike in many Muslim nations
An Egyptian commentator qualified the holy month of Ramadan as “the 30 most spiritual days of the year.” Although for most, it is indeed a month of intense religious practice and spiritualism, it is also for a few an opportunity to push inflationary pressure to higher...
Egypt: Risk too High, Stability Outlook Remains Negative
In mid-May 2015, a major rating agency upgraded Egypt’s outlook from “stable” to “positive.” The rating agency cited the country’s perceived economic “recovery” as a reason for its decision. Another competing credit agency followed suit by upping its rating of the...
Algeria Stability-Security Review and Forecast: Quiet Ramadan, More Stress Ahead
Algiers, MEA RISK Maghreb-Sahel Office | Analyst: Hakim Aftab | MEA Risk expects the next two months to show an easing of social tension, first owing to the quiet month of Ramadan, and then to the summer holiday break. Although social tension will ease a little, we...
