Presentation: Sources of instability in the Sahel Play in new window | DownloadSubscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSThis is a presentation made by MEA Risk’s Arezki Daoud on understanding the sources of instability in the Sahel at a...
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Sources of instability: Restive southeast Tunisia struggles with economic despair

MEA Risk – May 31, 2018: Economic Brief:: A parliamentary report released this week in Tunisia caught our attention because it addressed, in an honest way, the major issues facing the restive southeastern Tunisia, and by extension many other regions.  On May 24,...
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Libya: Paris conference on Libya unlikely to yield positive outcome

May 31, 2018 – By Arezki Daoud, Lead Analyst, MEA Risk LLC:  The headlines in some of the world’s media read as if something new happened in Paris this week. One of them says “Libyan factions agree to December 10 elections at Paris talks,” suggesting to the...
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Sahel: Violence escalates, surge of communal conflicts

MEA Risk Security Brief – May 31, 2018: Violence in Mali continues to escalate, making dozens of deaths, including among Tuareg and Fulani civilians caught in a conflict that has no solution in sight. Over the past weekend, some 20 people were killed in the...
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Algeria: More insurgents surrender as military renews call for amnesty, says MEA Risk

MEA Risk LLC reports that four more Islamic insurgents surrendered to the army in the province of Tamanrasset in Algeria this week in a series of surrenders boosted by the military call for amnesty for those willing to give up the insurgency. The militants who...
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Mozambique: Back to uncertainty as opposition leader dies before conclusion of peace talks

MEA Risk –  May 16, 2018: News and political life in Mozambique over the past fortnight have been largely dominated by the unexpected death of Renamo leader Afonso Dhlakama on 3 May 2018.  Dhlakama, one of the two top players in the ongoing peace talks, along...
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Tunisia: Difficult Road to Stability

Tunisia continues to face several pain points that the government is struggling to contain.  On the economic front, new data points confirm the tough start of the year for the country.  Its foreign exchange reserves have dropped to 11.8 billion dinars ($4.98 billion)... read more

Nigeria’s grazing wars are now deadlier than Boko Haram

Most people think of Boko Haram when they think of the top security problem facing Nigeria. That may be true until you learn more about one of the outcomes of the Boko Haram onslaught in northern Nigeria. Boko Haram’s reign of terror affected millions of people,... read more

Nigeria’s stability assessment

For the period of 11 to 17 December 2017, there were 55 critical incidents in Nigeria, resulting in 36 deaths and 63 arrests. Criminality accounted for nearly 35%, followed by Security-related incidents with 18.37%. There have been many protests and demonstrations... read more

Algeria stability week in review

In the period between 7 and 13 December 2017, there were 83 critical incidents in Algeria, resulting in eight deaths and 480 arrests, including 267 immigrants, 97 drug traffickers and 38 contraband smugglers. Algeria’s MEA Risk’s Stability Rating for that week ended... read more

Metrojet crash in the Sinai likely to worsen Egyptian economy

MEA Risk Research Note: The UK government ordered a suspension of flights to the Egyptian resort of Sharm El-Sheikh, as a result of what it believes to be a strong likelihood of a bomb that downed the Russian airplane. Metrojet Flight 9268, a Russian plane carrying...

Should Kenya tighten its belt amid revenue uncertainty?

There is an ongoing debate over a “cash crunch” facing Kenya. But is it a real issue which could affect the Kenyan economic outlook?   This ongoing debate is in line with what we are seeing in other African countries. Currency woes are indeed affecting a...

Maghreb/Sahel: August 2015 Monthly Human Migration Brief

The Maghreb and the Sahel regions continue to struggle with illegal migration.  In most cases, migrants come from other regions such as war-torn Mid East countries and Sub-Sahara Africa, using the Maghreb as a transit platform toward Europe, taking advantage of a...

Egypt: Risk too High, Stability Outlook Remains Negative

In mid-May 2015, a major rating agency upgraded Egypt’s outlook from “stable” to “positive.” The rating agency cited the country’s perceived economic “recovery” as a reason for its decision. Another competing credit agency followed suit by upping its rating of the...

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