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ANALYSIS

Algeria’s other military campaigns

MEA Risk reports that for the period of 1 to 7 November 2018, there were 53 critical incidents recorded in Algeria, resulting in a single death and 392 arrests.  The share of the Criminality category in the week’s total incident pool was 39%, with authorities...
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Nigeria: As primaries end, competition between parties to intensify, and violence likely

For the period of 8 to 14 October 2018, there were 41 critical incidents in Nigeria, resulting in at least 124 deaths and 113 arrests.  Both the Social/Human and Economic categories accounted for nearly 27% each of the total incident pool of the week. At least...
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Mozambique: Municipal elections end with ruling party dominance

The Mozambican Liberation Front (Frelimo) has won Mozambique’s municipal elections in 44 of the country’s 53 municipalities, according to official figures released on 14 October.  Elections took place on 10 October. Only the results from Malema in the north of the...
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Europe wants a proactive North Africa in preventing migrations

There appears to be an uptick in entry of foreign migrants into Europe over the past months.  Although there has been a sizeable decrease of global entries since 2015, the European Coast Guard agency Frontex noticed an increase of refugee inflows on the sequential...
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Algeria: Intense counter-terrorism campaign leads to surrender of wanted Malian insurgent

Wanted Malian Islamic State insurgent Aissa Abzou, also known as “Sultan Oueld Badi”, surrendered to the army in Tamanrasset on 11 August. Two machine guns and an important quantity of ammunition were seized. Sultan Oueld Badi is a member of the Islamic...
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Libya: Critical Incidents Map for July 2018. Libya risk remains highly elevated

For the period of 1 July to 7 August 2018, there were 64 critical incidents affecting Libya’s stability rating. Those incidents resulted in at least 18 deaths and 1,004 arrests. As a result, the MEA Risk Incidents Index (or Instability Index) for the period was 1.90....
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MEA Risk is an information, analysis, forecasting and alerting company that tracks security, risk and stability in many regions. We track incidents, from terrorism and counter-terror operations, to criminality, political and social unrest and all other key factors that contribute to the instability of a region. Our Analysts are on the ground working 24 hours a day so they can be your eyes and ears there. Stay safe and find out how we can help.

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Sahel: Violence escalates, surge of communal conflicts

MEA Risk Security Brief – May 31, 2018: Violence in Mali continues to escalate, making dozens of deaths, including among Tuareg and Fulani civilians caught in a conflict that has no solution in sight. Over the past weekend, some 20 people were killed in the... read more

Instability persists in Nigeria

MEA Risk – May 14, 2018; For the period of 7 to 13 May 2018, there were 53 critical incidents in Nigeria, resulting in 134 deaths and 215 arrests. Incidents related to the Human & Social category and the Criminality category accounted each for 24.53% of the... read more

MEA Risk introduces interactive security heatmaps

MEA Risk LLC is pleased to announce the release of its MEA Risk Heatmaps.  The heatmaps are chroropleth maps that leverage the data from Critical Incidents Tracker to provide a clear visual understanding of the risk in countries and regions tracked by MEA Risk... read more

Libya: No hope for stability anytime soon

No one seems to know what to do with Libya these days. French President Emmanuel Macron at least had the courage to say that the military intervention in Libya under President Nicolas Sarkozy, was a “serious mistake…It was not the suitable solution, in the sense... read more

Metrojet crash in the Sinai likely to worsen Egyptian economy

MEA Risk Research Note: The UK government ordered a suspension of flights to the Egyptian resort of Sharm El-Sheikh, as a result of what it believes to be a strong likelihood of a bomb that downed the Russian airplane. Metrojet Flight 9268, a Russian plane carrying...

Should Kenya tighten its belt amid revenue uncertainty?

There is an ongoing debate over a “cash crunch” facing Kenya. But is it a real issue which could affect the Kenyan economic outlook?   This ongoing debate is in line with what we are seeing in other African countries. Currency woes are indeed affecting a...

Maghreb/Sahel: August 2015 Monthly Human Migration Brief

The Maghreb and the Sahel regions continue to struggle with illegal migration.  In most cases, migrants come from other regions such as war-torn Mid East countries and Sub-Sahara Africa, using the Maghreb as a transit platform toward Europe, taking advantage of a...

Egypt: Risk too High, Stability Outlook Remains Negative

In mid-May 2015, a major rating agency upgraded Egypt’s outlook from “stable” to “positive.” The rating agency cited the country’s perceived economic “recovery” as a reason for its decision. Another competing credit agency followed suit by upping its rating of the...

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