ANALYSIS

Libya: No hope for stability anytime soon

No one seems to know what to do with Libya these days. French President Emmanuel Macron at least had the courage to say that the military intervention in Libya under President Nicolas Sarkozy, was a “serious mistake…It was not the suitable solution, in the sense...
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Algeria: Security Update

There has been a set back in the Algerian counter-terror offensive, after five soldiers were killed today (14 February) in a bomb explosion in Tebessa, near the Tunisian border.  A large-scale sweeping operation was launched after the incident, in an area that appears...
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Tunisia: Difficult Road to Stability

Tunisia continues to face several pain points that the government is struggling to contain.  On the economic front, new data points confirm the tough start of the year for the country.  Its foreign exchange reserves have dropped to 11.8 billion dinars ($4.98 billion)...
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Nigeria’s grazing wars are now deadlier than Boko Haram

Most people think of Boko Haram when they think of the top security problem facing Nigeria. That may be true until you learn more about one of the outcomes of the Boko Haram onslaught in northern Nigeria. Boko Haram’s reign of terror affected millions of people,...
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Kidnappings, insurgencies, and grazing wars: Nigeria’s escalating domestic crises

Nigeria’s MEA Risk stability rating fluctuates from week to week between moderate-risk and high-risk zone, leaning more to the latter considering the plethora of domestic security issues it is facing. For the week ending 21 January 2018, there were 46 critical...
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Nigeria’s stability assessment

For the period of 11 to 17 December 2017, there were 55 critical incidents in Nigeria, resulting in 36 deaths and 63 arrests. Criminality accounted for nearly 35%, followed by Security-related incidents with 18.37%. There have been many protests and demonstrations...
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Nigeria’s grazing wars are now deadlier than Boko Haram

Most people think of Boko Haram when they think of the top security problem facing Nigeria. That may be true until you learn more about one of the outcomes of the Boko Haram onslaught in northern Nigeria. Boko Haram’s reign of terror affected millions of people,... read more

Nigeria’s stability assessment

For the period of 11 to 17 December 2017, there were 55 critical incidents in Nigeria, resulting in 36 deaths and 63 arrests. Criminality accounted for nearly 35%, followed by Security-related incidents with 18.37%. There have been many protests and demonstrations... read more

Algeria stability week in review

In the period between 7 and 13 December 2017, there were 83 critical incidents in Algeria, resulting in eight deaths and 480 arrests, including 267 immigrants, 97 drug traffickers and 38 contraband smugglers. Algeria’s MEA Risk’s Stability Rating for that week ended... read more

Broadcast: Europe’s Radicalized Muslim Population

Europe’s integration policies related to its immigrants have been less than effective in stemming the rise of extremism. Decades of misconceived immigration strategies have led to the rise of radical movements, to the point now that new measures to strip the...

Oil prices & the impact on Sovereign Wealth Funds Libya as a case

The drop in oil prices in the last 12 months has taken markets and investors by surprise. State institutions such as Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWF) have been affected and state budgets have suffered. SWF will grow slowly and in many cases will see some of their assets...

The Other Time Bomb: Food Dependency in Middle East/North Africa

North Africa’s stability is not only undermined by the terror risk coming from Daesh and other insurgency groups, but it is also more acutely affected by broad governance issues and its inability to deal with pressing economic, social and environmental problems. One...

How Algeria’s new budget may lead drug trafficking to soar

The recently adopted budget for fiscal year 2016 has been subject to vivid opposition from several political figures and civil society associations ever since a draft version was made released in late 2015. Developed on the basis of a reference price of $37 the barrel...

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