ANALYSIS

Algeria report: Health of president & counter-insurgency ops dominate the week

For the period of 9 to 15 March 2017, MEA Risk’s Critical Incidents Tracker recorded 74 critical incidents in Algeria, resulting in four deaths and 438 arrests. Human and social-related incidents and criminality both accounted for 29.73% of the total pool of...
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Mozambique report: Progress toward conflict resolution, but major problems remain

For the period of 1 through 15 March 2017, MEA Risk’s Critical Incidents Tracker reports that Mozambique witnessed 54 critical incidents, resulting in 19 deaths, 200 wounded, and 40 arrests. While security issues have eased, many of the deaths are attributed to...
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Nigeria Security Notification: oil companies may be required to relocate to Niger Delta: security implications

Dear colleague: Please feel free to forward this note to you colleagues who cover West Africa.  You could also install TripFence mobile alert application, and enable notification for instant alerts. You can select the region that matters to you. You could also forward...
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Analysis: Nigeria stability check

While Nigeria’s President has left Abuja for London to take care of his health, his Vice President has been in charge. What is happening in Nigeria these days? For the period of 20 to 26 February 2017, Nigeria witnessed 63 critical incidents, resulting in 57...
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Mozambique: End of February 2017 stability check

For the period of 16 to 28 February 2017, there were 51 critical incidents recorded in Mozambique, resulting in 33 deaths and 56 arrests as recorded by MEA Risk’s Critical Incidents Tracker. The deaths are largely the result of Cyclone Dineo and its aftermath,...
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Egypt: President Sisi fails to deliver two Red Sea islands to Saudi Arabia: Implications

Saudi Arabia continues to put enormous pressure on Egypt over the now-failed transfer of two Red Sea islands.  Unable or unwilling to deliver the islands to Riyadh, Sissi and Egypt are now feeling the punitive and vindictive stance of Saudi Arabia, which is now...
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#Morocco: King Mohammed VI fires Prime Minister Benkirane: north-africa.com/mor…

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Analysis: Nigeria stability check

While Nigeria’s President has left Abuja for London to take care of his health, his Vice President has been in charge. What is happening in Nigeria these days? For the period of 20 to 26 February 2017, Nigeria witnessed 63 critical incidents, resulting in 57... read more

Mozambique: End of February 2017 stability check

For the period of 16 to 28 February 2017, there were 51 critical incidents recorded in Mozambique, resulting in 33 deaths and 56 arrests as recorded by MEA Risk’s Critical Incidents Tracker. The deaths are largely the result of Cyclone Dineo and its aftermath,... read more

Security: Russia Plays a New Card in Libya

The trip to Moscow, planned for this February by Fayez Al-Sarraj, head of the Tripoli government recognized by the UN, as well as the two trips to the Russian capital by General Khalifa Haftar in 2016, illustrate Russia’s increasing involvement in the Libyan... read more

UN, Morocco and the Polisario: Analysis

The North Africa Journal: February 27, 2017: Morocco is to withdraw some troops from Guerguerat, in the contested Western Sahara region. The move is a bid to deescalate tension after Moroccan soldiers breached into the buffer zone established by the UN to keep Morocco... read more

Broadcast: Europe’s Radicalized Muslim Population

Europe’s integration policies related to its immigrants have been less than effective in stemming the rise of extremism. Decades of misconceived immigration strategies have led to the rise of radical movements, to the point now that new measures to strip the...

Oil prices & the impact on Sovereign Wealth Funds Libya as a case

The drop in oil prices in the last 12 months has taken markets and investors by surprise. State institutions such as Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWF) have been affected and state budgets have suffered. SWF will grow slowly and in many cases will see some of their assets...

The Other Time Bomb: Food Dependency in Middle East/North Africa

North Africa’s stability is not only undermined by the terror risk coming from Daesh and other insurgency groups, but it is also more acutely affected by broad governance issues and its inability to deal with pressing economic, social and environmental problems. One...

How Algeria’s new budget may lead drug trafficking to soar

The recently adopted budget for fiscal year 2016 has been subject to vivid opposition from several political figures and civil society associations ever since a draft version was made released in late 2015. Developed on the basis of a reference price of $37 the barrel...

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