Turkey: MEA Risk Downgrades Turkey Short-Term Security Outlook

Turkey is going through an unprecedented crisis greatly affecting its security outlook.  The recent coup attempt, and the crackdown that followed brought to the open the extent and severity of the problems and divisions affecting the country. Turkey was already...
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Mozambique: Between War and Peace, as the Economy Crumbles

Preparations are underway for face-to-face meetings between Mozambique’s President and the head of the Renamo movement to start a new round of peace talks. Yet, although the two have made substantial strides in agreeing to each other’s main terms and conditions,...
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East Africa: Lackluster Security Response in Light of a Still Aggressive Al Shabaab Insurgency

As the month of Ramadan draws to an end, East Africa saw an increase in terror activities, making it one of the bloodiest seasons, with a much more lethal Al- Shabaab. Yet, Al Shabaab seems to fall victim of its own uncoordinated and poorly executive offensives and...
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Turkey: Terror attack on Istanbul’s Atatürk Airport claims at least 41 victims

Three suicide bombers carried out an attack on Istanbul’s Atatürk Airport late on June 28, killing at least 41 people based on the latest account from Justice Minister Bekir Bozdağ.  Nearly 150 people were wounded.  At least one attacker first opened fire with a...
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Stability Assessment: Algeria Confronted with Security and Governance Issues

This week, the Algerian government has taken extraordinary steps in asserting its control in what many interpret as an overreach of power. The temporary shutdown of the Internet across the country, the arrest of a TV Manager and two other employees, the probe launched...
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Egypt: Ramadan 2016 mid-point stability and security analysis

Egypt seems to be going through a quiet period as we reach the mid-point of Ramadan this year (2016). Terror activity, although still a major issue specifically in North Sinai, has eased in most of the country, all while the military remains highly aggressive in its...
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Algeria Threat Assessment for Week Ending May 11, 2016

For the period of May 05, 2016 to May 11, 2016, there were 51 critical incidents in Algeria, as recorded by MEA Risk’s Critical Incidents Tracker, resulting in 13 deaths, 2 wounded, and 59 arrests. As a result, the MEA Risk Incidents Index (CIncidents Index) for... read more

Mozambique in Transition

Mozambique, a country that has received a great deal of attention and investment thanks to the oil boom is now facing a multitude of problems on the political, economic, social and human fronts.  Here’s the latest from MEA Risk analysts in Maputo and Cabo Delgado: The... read more

Brief-Egypt: Militants kill 8 policemen

Eight policemen, include an officer were killed by gunmen in Cairo’s Helwan area. The men were getting into a bus when four militants attacked them in a drive-by shooting mode. The plainclothes policemen were said to be operating a checkpoint in a minibus near... read more

Libya: UK Air service to intervene in Sirte in upcoming weeks

Libya, Sirte. April, 25, 2016. According to the UK Defense Secretary Michael Fallon, members of the British Special Air Service will join US, French and Italian counterparts in an intervention against the Islamic State in the city of Sirte, where at least 5,000... read more

Mali: Ansar Dine claims kidnapping of Red Cross staffers

MEA Risk, Kidal, Mali. April 21, 2016. The pro-Al Qaeda group Ansar Dine, led by the Malian Jihadist Iyad Ag Ghali, has claimed responsibility for the kidnapping of three Malian collaborators of the International Red Cross in the region of Kidal. Nouredine Ag Mohamed,... read more

Broadcast: Europe’s Radicalized Muslim Population

Europe’s integration policies related to its immigrants have been less than effective in stemming the rise of extremism. Decades of misconceived immigration strategies have led to the rise of radical movements, to the point now that new measures to strip the...

Oil prices & the impact on Sovereign Wealth Funds Libya as a case

The drop in oil prices in the last 12 months has taken markets and investors by surprise. State institutions such as Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWF) have been affected and state budgets have suffered. SWF will grow slowly and in many cases will see some of their assets...

The Other Time Bomb: Food Dependency in Middle East/North Africa

North Africa’s stability is not only undermined by the terror risk coming from Daesh and other insurgency groups, but it is also more acutely affected by broad governance issues and its inability to deal with pressing economic, social and environmental problems. One...

How Algeria’s new budget may lead drug trafficking to soar

The recently adopted budget for fiscal year 2016 has been subject to vivid opposition from several political figures and civil society associations ever since a draft version was made released in late 2015. Developed on the basis of a reference price of $37 the barrel...

Metrojet crash in the Sinai likely to worsen Egyptian economy

MEA Risk Research Note: The UK government ordered a suspension of flights to the Egyptian resort of Sharm El-Sheikh, as a result of what it believes to be a strong likelihood of a bomb that downed the Russian airplane. Metrojet Flight 9268, a Russian plane carrying...

Should Kenya tighten its belt amid revenue uncertainty?

There is an ongoing debate over a “cash crunch” facing Kenya. But is it a real issue which could affect the Kenyan economic outlook?   This ongoing debate is in line with what we are seeing in other African countries. Currency woes are indeed affecting a...

Maghreb/Sahel: August 2015 Monthly Human Migration Brief

The Maghreb and the Sahel regions continue to struggle with illegal migration.  In most cases, migrants come from other regions such as war-torn Mid East countries and Sub-Sahara Africa, using the Maghreb as a transit platform toward Europe, taking advantage of a...

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Critical Incidents Tracker or CIncidents provides up-to-the-minute listings and analysis of key events through a cloud-based database and a live geo-mapping platform managed by on-the-ground Analysts reachable almost instantaneously. The visual interface is further enhanced through a set of analytical tools providing a greater degree of intelligence on what countries are facing in dealing with an unstable environment.

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