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MEA Risk tracks security incidents, from terrorism and counter-terror operations, to criminality, and social unrest and all other key factors that contribute to the instability of a region. Our Analysts are on the ground working 24 hours a day and can be your eyes and ears there. Stay safe and find out how we can help.


Nigeria: The destruction of oil pipelines: A November to remember

The state of security tied to oil infrastructure in Niger Delta continues to worsen amid growing attacks on oil pipelines. Although many of the demands and grievances of the militants engaged in pipeline sabotage are legitimate, their actions are having severe adverse...
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Mozambique’s economy facing the bad and the potential good

First the bad.  The Mozambican economy is facing tremendous negative pressure originating from two major sources:  first, the country has long depended on revenues from key mining products and commodities such as coal and petroleum exports. With demand for such...
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Morocco remains an intermediate risk country, seeks to contain militant groups

Morocco faces a moderate level of security risk, placing it as an intermediate risk country. Indeed the Kingdom faces several risk sources but it has managed, thus far, to successfully control them.  From October 25 to November 24, Morocco’s MEA Risk Index was 1.44,...
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Algerian authorities confronted with localized labor unrest, escalation in 2017

While the Algerian authorities continue to focus a great deal of attention and resources on preventing attacks from Islamic militant groups, the erosion in state revenues is forcing them to push for new austerity measures that are creating a lot of tension nationwide....
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Turkey: MEA Risk Downgrades Turkey Short-Term Security Outlook

Turkey is going through an unprecedented crisis greatly affecting its security outlook.  The recent coup attempt, and the crackdown that followed brought to the open the extent and severity of the problems and divisions affecting the country. Turkey was already...
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Mozambique: Between War and Peace, as the Economy Crumbles

Preparations are underway for face-to-face meetings between Mozambique’s President and the head of the Renamo movement to start a new round of peace talks. Yet, although the two have made substantial strides in agreeing to each other’s main terms and conditions,...
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Mozambique: Between War and Peace, as the Economy Crumbles

Preparations are underway for face-to-face meetings between Mozambique’s President and the head of the Renamo movement to start a new round of peace talks. Yet, although the two have made substantial strides in agreeing to each other’s main terms and conditions,... read more

Egypt: Ramadan 2016 mid-point stability and security analysis

Egypt seems to be going through a quiet period as we reach the mid-point of Ramadan this year (2016). Terror activity, although still a major issue specifically in North Sinai, has eased in most of the country, all while the military remains highly aggressive in its... read more

Algeria Threat Assessment for Week Ending May 11, 2016

For the period of May 05, 2016 to May 11, 2016, there were 51 critical incidents in Algeria, as recorded by MEA Risk’s Critical Incidents Tracker, resulting in 13 deaths, 2 wounded, and 59 arrests. As a result, the MEA Risk Incidents Index (CIncidents Index) for... read more

Broadcast: Europe’s Radicalized Muslim Population

Europe’s integration policies related to its immigrants have been less than effective in stemming the rise of extremism. Decades of misconceived immigration strategies have led to the rise of radical movements, to the point now that new measures to strip the...

Oil prices & the impact on Sovereign Wealth Funds Libya as a case

The drop in oil prices in the last 12 months has taken markets and investors by surprise. State institutions such as Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWF) have been affected and state budgets have suffered. SWF will grow slowly and in many cases will see some of their assets...

The Other Time Bomb: Food Dependency in Middle East/North Africa

North Africa’s stability is not only undermined by the terror risk coming from Daesh and other insurgency groups, but it is also more acutely affected by broad governance issues and its inability to deal with pressing economic, social and environmental problems. One...

How Algeria’s new budget may lead drug trafficking to soar

The recently adopted budget for fiscal year 2016 has been subject to vivid opposition from several political figures and civil society associations ever since a draft version was made released in late 2015. Developed on the basis of a reference price of $37 the barrel...

Metrojet crash in the Sinai likely to worsen Egyptian economy

MEA Risk Research Note: The UK government ordered a suspension of flights to the Egyptian resort of Sharm El-Sheikh, as a result of what it believes to be a strong likelihood of a bomb that downed the Russian airplane. Metrojet Flight 9268, a Russian plane carrying...

Should Kenya tighten its belt amid revenue uncertainty?

There is an ongoing debate over a “cash crunch” facing Kenya. But is it a real issue which could affect the Kenyan economic outlook?   This ongoing debate is in line with what we are seeing in other African countries. Currency woes are indeed affecting a...

Maghreb/Sahel: August 2015 Monthly Human Migration Brief

The Maghreb and the Sahel regions continue to struggle with illegal migration.  In most cases, migrants come from other regions such as war-torn Mid East countries and Sub-Sahara Africa, using the Maghreb as a transit platform toward Europe, taking advantage of a...

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