ANALYSIS

Libya: Shifting sands in the militia and insurgency movements

Tracking and understanding the various militias and insurgent groups involved in the Libya conflict is no trivial exercise. This is because the situation shifts quickly in reaction to the many events that force continuous changes on the ground.   Take for example the...
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Morocco risk outlook: difficult path to reconciliation in el-Hoceima, but it is not too late

Nasser Zefzafi, the figurehead of the Hirak protest movement that shook the northcentral Rif region of El-Hoceima in Morocco remains in police custody in Casablanca, having been arrested on 29 May.  Zefzafi was initially arrested for having interrupted a religious...
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New French government refining Africa strategy: African troops for the Sahel and support for Libya’s Haftar

The new French President is seeking to influence French policy in Africa with his own vision. What he may offer may not be a major departure from his predecessor’s policy, but instead he is looking for a simplified version that reduces France’s liability and costs,...
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Saudi power struggle could destabilize the entire Middle East

By Dr. Cyril Widdershoven-  Political instability in Saudi Arabia is growing as King Salman bin Abdulaziz begins to overhaul the Saudi government, putting a long list of family members into positions of influence while increasing the power of his son, Deputy Crown...
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Western Sahara tension eases, but long-term resolution unlikely

MEA Risk Brief: Fighters of the Polisario Front, who are seeking statehood in the Western Sahara, withdrew from a contest area known as Guerguerat, following a unilateral withdrawal of the Moroccan troops a few weeks ago. The removal of armed forces from this small...
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What’s ahead for Mozambique?

For the period of 16 to 31 March 2017, there were 56 critical incidents in Mozambique, resulting in 22 deaths. Truce between the Mozambican government and the RENAMO rebel movement remained intact, providing a clean path to a political resolution to the conflict...
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Region of #ElHoceima-#Morocco shutting down as residents and businesses demanding release community leaders arrested by police,says @MEARisk

About 3 weeks ago from MEA Risk | TripFence's Twitter via TweetCaster for iOS

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Saudi power struggle could destabilize the entire Middle East

By Dr. Cyril Widdershoven-  Political instability in Saudi Arabia is growing as King Salman bin Abdulaziz begins to overhaul the Saudi government, putting a long list of family members into positions of influence while increasing the power of his son, Deputy Crown... read more

What’s ahead for Mozambique?

For the period of 16 to 31 March 2017, there were 56 critical incidents in Mozambique, resulting in 22 deaths. Truce between the Mozambican government and the RENAMO rebel movement remained intact, providing a clean path to a political resolution to the conflict... read more

Algeria Security Week in Review: Week ending April 5, 2017

For the period between 30 March and 5 April 2017, there were 63 critical incidents in Algeria, resulting in two deaths and 326 arrests. This week, criminality incidents accounted for nearly 35% of the total incident pool, followed by human and social crisis and... read more

Broadcast: Europe’s Radicalized Muslim Population

Europe’s integration policies related to its immigrants have been less than effective in stemming the rise of extremism. Decades of misconceived immigration strategies have led to the rise of radical movements, to the point now that new measures to strip the...

Oil prices & the impact on Sovereign Wealth Funds Libya as a case

The drop in oil prices in the last 12 months has taken markets and investors by surprise. State institutions such as Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWF) have been affected and state budgets have suffered. SWF will grow slowly and in many cases will see some of their assets...

The Other Time Bomb: Food Dependency in Middle East/North Africa

North Africa’s stability is not only undermined by the terror risk coming from Daesh and other insurgency groups, but it is also more acutely affected by broad governance issues and its inability to deal with pressing economic, social and environmental problems. One...

How Algeria’s new budget may lead drug trafficking to soar

The recently adopted budget for fiscal year 2016 has been subject to vivid opposition from several political figures and civil society associations ever since a draft version was made released in late 2015. Developed on the basis of a reference price of $37 the barrel...

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