ANALYSIS

What’s ahead for Mozambique?

For the period of 16 to 31 March 2017, there were 56 critical incidents in Mozambique, resulting in 22 deaths. Truce between the Mozambican government and the RENAMO rebel movement remained intact, providing a clean path to a political resolution to the conflict...
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Algeria Security Week in Review: Week ending April 5, 2017

For the period between 30 March and 5 April 2017, there were 63 critical incidents in Algeria, resulting in two deaths and 326 arrests. This week, criminality incidents accounted for nearly 35% of the total incident pool, followed by human and social crisis and...
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Nigeria security week in review: public health in crisis and Boko Haram on the offensive

For the period of 3 to 9 April 2017, there were 59 critical incidents recorded in Nigeria, resulting in 88 deaths and 192 arrests. Human and social issues took the top spot, accounting for 28.81% of the total incident pool, followed by criminality with 25.42%. The...
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Egypt: ISIS claims attacks on Coptic churches, state of emergency declared

At least 49 people were confirmed dead in today’s (April 9, 2017) attacks on two Coptic churches in Egypt, prompting the Egyptian President to declare a three-month nationwide state of emergency. The attacks, which took place in Alexandria and Tanta, were...
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Algeria report: Health of president & counter-insurgency ops dominate the week

For the period of 9 to 15 March 2017, MEA Risk’s Critical Incidents Tracker recorded 74 critical incidents in Algeria, resulting in four deaths and 438 arrests. Human and social-related incidents and criminality both accounted for 29.73% of the total pool of...
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Mozambique report: Progress toward conflict resolution, but major problems remain

For the period of 1 through 15 March 2017, MEA Risk’s Critical Incidents Tracker reports that Mozambique witnessed 54 critical incidents, resulting in 19 deaths, 200 wounded, and 40 arrests. While security issues have eased, many of the deaths are attributed to...
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Analysis: Nigeria stability check

While Nigeria’s President has left Abuja for London to take care of his health, his Vice President has been in charge. What is happening in Nigeria these days? For the period of 20 to 26 February 2017, Nigeria witnessed 63 critical incidents, resulting in 57... read more

Mozambique: End of February 2017 stability check

For the period of 16 to 28 February 2017, there were 51 critical incidents recorded in Mozambique, resulting in 33 deaths and 56 arrests as recorded by MEA Risk’s Critical Incidents Tracker. The deaths are largely the result of Cyclone Dineo and its aftermath,... read more

Security: Russia Plays a New Card in Libya

The trip to Moscow, planned for this February by Fayez Al-Sarraj, head of the Tripoli government recognized by the UN, as well as the two trips to the Russian capital by General Khalifa Haftar in 2016, illustrate Russia’s increasing involvement in the Libyan... read more

Broadcast: Europe’s Radicalized Muslim Population

Europe’s integration policies related to its immigrants have been less than effective in stemming the rise of extremism. Decades of misconceived immigration strategies have led to the rise of radical movements, to the point now that new measures to strip the...

Oil prices & the impact on Sovereign Wealth Funds Libya as a case

The drop in oil prices in the last 12 months has taken markets and investors by surprise. State institutions such as Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWF) have been affected and state budgets have suffered. SWF will grow slowly and in many cases will see some of their assets...

The Other Time Bomb: Food Dependency in Middle East/North Africa

North Africa’s stability is not only undermined by the terror risk coming from Daesh and other insurgency groups, but it is also more acutely affected by broad governance issues and its inability to deal with pressing economic, social and environmental problems. One...

How Algeria’s new budget may lead drug trafficking to soar

The recently adopted budget for fiscal year 2016 has been subject to vivid opposition from several political figures and civil society associations ever since a draft version was made released in late 2015. Developed on the basis of a reference price of $37 the barrel...

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